Rawson, Thomas https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8182-4279
Morgenstern, Christian https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3735-1130
Knock, Edward S. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1135-9652
Hicks, Joseph
Pham, Anh
Morel, Guillaume https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5462-1027
Murillo, Aurelio Cabezas
Sanderson, Michael W. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5965-906X
Forchini, Giovanni
FitzJohn, Richard
Hauck, Katharina https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3138-4169
Ferguson, Neil
Article History
Received: 28 January 2025
Accepted: 28 April 2025
First Online: 8 May 2025
Competing interests
: We declare that none of the authors have competing financial or non-financial interests as defined by Nature Portfolio.
: All roles and responsibilities were agreed amongst collaborators ahead of the research. Local ethics review was not required due to this being a computational study.