Received: 20 October 2021
Accepted: 26 April 2022
First Online: 12 May 2022
: This study was based upon modeling of previously published data and was exempt from ethics approval.
: Authors declared no competing interests. The study was requested by officials advising the governor of New York and the mayor of New York City and the last author is advising Columbia University on Covid-19 transmission models. No authors have any financial or other stake in the outcomes of the analysis.